Ugandans go to the polls - will Museveni prevail?

DL

Dori van Loggerenberg

15 January 2026 | 14:46

Fears of violence and an internet shutdown as the country votes in a national election.

Ugandans go to the polls - will Museveni prevail?

Uganda’s incumbent president and National Resistance Movement (NRM) presidential candidate Yoweri Museveni delivers a speech during the party’s closing campaign rally ahead of the 2026 Ugandan general elections, in Kampala on January 13, 2026. Photo by AFP

The fight between incumbent President Yoweri Museveni and his challenger Bobi Wine comes to a head, as Ugandans head to the polls.

Greg Mills from Platform for African Democrats says it's actually two elections in one.

"On the one hand it's a contest really between Bobi Wine the 43-year-old, versus the 81-year-old Yoweri Museveni... and of course Museveni, with his military background and his military forces... and he's run interference against everything that Bobi Wine has done, because Wine represents a huge threat to Museveni's rule – and indeed the second contest, which is who takes over from Museveni."

Mills explains that Museveni's son Muhoozi Kainerugaba – who is the Chief of Defence Forces – is the man most likely to succeed the current leader.

The popular young musician turned politician, Wine is contesting for a second time, after his unsuccessful attempt in 2021.

Mills says most Ugandans relate much better to Wine than Museveni, due to his age.

"Uganda has an incredibly young population... 85% of the population is under the age of 25, most people have never known another president other than Museveni."

Despite growing international concern that the election will once again be 'won' by Museveni – who has been in office since 1986 – Mills says it's unlikely there will be any official pushback.

To listen to Greg Mills in conversation with CapeTalk & 702's Mandy Wiener, click the audio below:

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